We talk about Eastern Kentucky's drug problem and the Iraq War. We also talk about Obama's spending plan or possible spending plan and we talk about Kentucky's role in the advancement of clean coal technology and it does not look good.
Anyone that has ever served in the military and or served in law enforcement, know that the number one rule when dealing with terrorists is you do not negotiate. The rule book governing such groups and the yellow pages of terrorist organizations has become muddy over the past few years, but the Taliban is indeed a terrorist organization.
The United States is backing talks with the Taliban, but those talks hit a big Afghani pot hole as the envoy was expelled before a sit down could commence. The Republicans are screaming bloody murder that Afghanistan is stable and we simply need to maintain a steady presence in the country to provide security. They refuse to admit that the diversion of hundreds of millions of dollars from Afghanistan to Iraq has compromised the mission against the Taliban and Al-Qaeda in that destitute country. Well why in the hell is the U.S. breaking their own rules negotiating with the terrorist group, the Taliban, if the country is so damn stable?
Rumors from my boys in country is suggesting that the shit is getting ready to hit the fan there. With the slaying of former Pakistani Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto, nerves are frayed.
I think our big surge in Iraq might just blow up in our faces and the result will be more dead American soldiers.
The December WHAS11/SurveyUSA approval ratings are out on Minority Leader Senator Mitch McConnell (R) and the slick TV ads, Crit Luallen's withdraw, Greg Stumbo's withdraw and the Republican propaganda from IRAQ appears to have boosted McConnell's approval rating.
The cross-tabs are not available yet, but McConnell's overalls are 51% Approve, 42% Disapprove with 7% undecided. The issues that will guide our candidates, Republican and or Democratic, was and is the War in Iraq and Illegal Immigration. The economy has overtaken Iraq and Immigration as the number one issue for next year's Presidential race.
Once the cross-tabs become available we can take a deeper look, but at the moment it appears the Economy may be lead blocker for fast issues like Iraq and Illegal Immigration.
I expect Col. Horne to have a platform that will address these issues, McConnell better enjoy this plastic Christmas gift because these numbers will flux again.
I know that many people are extremely focused on the Iraq War and the defeat of Mitch McConnell in 2008. But in the next 5 weeks we can do more to replace Mitch [and maybe a few Congressmen] than we have been able to do all year.
Electing strong Anti-Iraq Democrats is the best way to get us out of Iraq and electing Steve Beshear, Daniel Mongiardo, Jack Conway and all our Democratic Party Candidates with an overwhelming mandate is the best way to do that. Right now the Kentucky Democratic Party is building voter files as never before using a state of the art targeting system that will revolutionize grass roots politics. BUT TO MAKE IT HAPPEN WE NEED YOU.
Only grass roots volunteers can make the calls and walk the ground to get the job done just as volunteers have brought so much pressure on Mitch McConnell.
Please contact Lisa Tanner for the coordinated campaign. Lisa can give you the location of one of a dozen call centers across the state [there is one near you] where you can plug in and make a difference, or pick-up walk packets and walk your neighborhood.
I know that focusing on the current races can seem to be far a field from the Iraq debate or Ditching Mitch, but we must fight smart if we are to win this fight. The race for Governor is a key battle in the campaign to take back our country. Just yesterday MoveOn.org announced that it is sending several workers to Kentucky to focus on this November’s races. We can do no less. Steph and I have already walked several precincts in Louisville and are making calls the next five Mondays.
Some interesting cross-tabs in the most recent poll conducted by WHAS11 via Survey USA in regards to Senator Mitch McConnell and Senator Jim Bunning. As stated here last week it looks like the Iraq War issue will not hurt Senator McConnell as much as first thought. The most interesting numbers of all is the fact that 39% of the LV's that identified themselves as Liberal, says Senator McConnell is doing a good job and 42% of LV's that consider themselves Moderates also approve of the controversial senator.
One interesting cross-tab that supports the Liberal opinion of McConnell is that 41% of Pro-Choice likely voters approve of McConnell as well. Senator Jim Bunning did not fair as well as his Republican counterpart, a dismal 50% of Republican voters disapprove of Bunnings performance.
Is this a sign of more to come? General Stumbo and Col.Horne need to study these polls until their eyes pop out because at this point McConnell might jump back up into the safe column after the news of the recent polling spreads. A purely objective opinion that is my own would say that his Minority Leader position is paying off. I had a veteran Legislator tell me a couple of days back that, "there is an unwritten rule when it comes to elected officials in leadership rolls, most will support them". I had to disagree with him BUT I would strongly suggest that any potential candidate formulate a good plan NOW that does not pander to only one political ideology, a broad stroke and an in-depth approach will be needed to defeat McConnell in 08.
With yesterday's CJ Bluegrass poll showing our indicted and corrupt Republican Governor down by 20 with 47 days to go, it is looking like an early Christmas in November. Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell is rumored to be worrying a bit and while we have an eternity until the real heat begins, McConnell is showing signs that he is truly concerned about next years battle that will be fought in a potential rejuvenated Democratic climate.
Possible scenario in 2008 and issues to watch out for. I am betting that Col.Horne will give it a go and if so he should announce his candidacy soon. The only concern at the moment is fund raising, Col. Horne should get it over with and file soon after the November elections to maximise his fund raising capability. If Col.Horne shows significant progress in the 4th quarter, he could discourage other potential Democratic candidates from filing. We need to avoid a Democratic primary blood bath to again maximise the effectiveness of the cash and public opinion.
Larry "frigging" Forgy could actually run against Senator McConnell in the 2008 Republican primary and if that plays out it could be a gift from heaven for the Democratic nominee. Why? Forgy will certainly expose most of McConnell's garbage before the general election and save the Democratic nominee the trouble. I am not saying Forgy would win a head to head match up but he is crazy enough to pull out all the stops.
So how will the climate change affect Senator McConnell in 2008? If everything goes as planned and it usually does not, Steve Beshear will recreate an atmosphere of Democratic unity in 2008. The 2008 Regular Session of the Kentucky General Assembly will play huge role in the 2008 primaries and general election because the issues could possibly shift toward a conservative message.
Questions like; illegal immigration will take most of the headlines in the 2008 Session, Our soon to be Democratic Attorney General Jack Conway has pledged to put an end to the illegal immigration in Kentucky because of the massive amount of illegal drugs some of the immigrants bring in to the Commonwealth. While the Iraq War will be the blogging focus, the media could certainly shift away from the war and focus on illegal immigration. If Senator McConnell's campaign theme mirrors what some Democratic legislators and our AG is saying it could be a long year for the Democratic candidates for US Senate.
It is all about perception and I personally can not wait until the polls reveal McConnell's true numbers. I am sure he is in the high 50's but that can change overnight. While personal attacks are somewhat taboo, I am hearing McConnell's past will come back to haunt him in 2008.
We also hear from a little birdy that Owsley Brown II has been to D.C. to have a discussion or two with Squier Knapp Dunn (among others). SKD is the organization who helped build Andrew Horne’s name ID in 2006 and worked for John Kerry/Bill Clinton.
Now this is getting interesting. Here comes more rumors that are at best likely possibilities and at first glance intriguing. I believe Chairman Miller is unlikely to be a candidate in the 2008 Democratic primary for Senate but the rumors are coming from the best of sources.
In regards to a possible Jonathan Miller for Senate candidacy, my sources tell me that you should "never say never". That's good enough for me.
Imagine the possibility of a 2008 Democratic primary with a Col. Horne, General Stumbo and a Chairman Miller. We would have an exciting and probably bloody Democratic primary election in 2008. If I were to rank these potential candidates today I would first consider the political climate change that will soon be reality after Steve Beshear becomes our Commonwealth's 61st Governor.
Miller could be ranked above Horne because of his recent campaign experience and fund raising success in the 2007 Democratic gubernatorial primary. He is after all the party chair, that can not hurt either. Col. Horne needs to be able to raise cash quick because General Stumbo will not wait for anyone. I wouldn't forget about Miller just like we shouldn't forget about Louisville's wealthy duo Charlie Owen and Owsley Brown II. Rumors of a Bruce Lunsford candidacy is also blog fodder.
Who ever steps up and becomes Republican Minority Leader Mitch McConnell's worst nightmare is irrelevant at the moment because the D list is quickly becoming the A list.
With 57% of Kentuckians standing against the Iraq War, Senator McConnell is being set up for a potential whipping. If he is not concerned about the recent polls, his position, THIS Potential LIST and the 2008 Kentucky transformation under Steve Beshear's supervision he is a damn liar. Don't forget about former Sen. Tom Daschle who had some $13 odd million in his war chest and lost.
An anonymous commenter asked an intriguing question:
So Chandler and Miller are definitely out?
My answer: I have not heard Jonathan Miller's name once as a serious candidate but I will tell you today that I would support him if he wants to run.
Rep. Chandler would probably win the damn thing if he chose to actually run. But he has it made where he is at so I don't expect him to chance being left out of DC.
I am hearing if one walks into a room full of state political and campaign insiders and says "How about that 2008 Senate race!" you might want to wear a football helmet to avoid major cranial injury, because they will throw something at you.
Blogs are about fact and rumor and rumor and fact, so whenever a good political rumor starts you bet the good bloggers will confirm and run with it. But you also have to prepared for the backlash. Next year's Senate race is already in my mind becoming more interesting than this year's November elections. Why? Because Steve Beshear should destroy Ernie Fletcher and most of the Democratic candidates should win, yes Bruce Hendrickson will win.
1. Col. Andrew Horne - Horne is quickly becoming the candidate of choice among anti-Iraq War activists and anti-McConnell groups. Horne also seems ready and willing to become the spokesman against this horrible war. Why not! According to the latest polls 57% of Kentuckians stand against the war. One great thing about Horne is he means it. If Horne is able to raise the cash he may become the consensus candidate early in the primary.
2. Attorney General Greg Stumbo - Stumbo could be the candidate that can stand toe to toe with Mitch McConnell in a hypothetical 2008 general election. General Stumbo is the most talented politician in the Commonwealth BUT he has made some terrible missteps in the past year. It appears to most that General Stumbo let Ernie Fletcher off the hook last year, it may have been a masterful political move that pushed Ernie into a reelection run but it damaged Stumbo's reputation. His relationship with labor will certainly have to be repaired before next year's Democratic primary.
All other candidates are just rumored to be running.
3. State Auditor Crit Luallen - Crit should wipe the floor with her Republican opponent in the upcoming general election and while her name recognition may be low in rural Kentucky, it would not take much doing to turn that around. Crit could be the ace in the hole if it appears Horne may slip. But her candidacy is only rumor.
4. Owsley Brown II - Frigging rich as hell! But as Bruce Lunsford proved during this year's Democratic gubernatorial primary, money does not buy anything and everything. But there is a huge difference between Brown and Lunsford, Lunsford was attacked every single day for his endorsement of Governor Fletcher during the 2003 general election. Brown seems to be highly respected.
I believe in these numbers from the Lexington Herald Leader and Action News 36 because their results on other races mirrored other poll results. Also rumored internal polling.
The issue is laid out on the table for one of the, and possibly all, Democratic and or Republican candidates. 57% percent of the Kentuckians polled, did not agree that the loss of life was worth the victories in Iraq.
Col. Horne has already stood against this war and now Stumbo will have to play catch up on this issue. It is a simple fact as of today, money will not buy this election. Republican Senator Mitch McConnell is facing his first true crisis at home.
I know we have a month or two before things get interesting but these poll numbers suggest the lies that Senator McConnell has chosen to spew over the past few years will come back and bite him in 08.
After today Senator McConnell can not be considered safe in 08. His war chest is meaningless if his positions are at odds with the voters back home. Not good for McConnell.
Pol Watcher's has the latest from the Rothenberg Political Report by Stuart Rothenberg and it has confirmed that Senator Mitch McConnell is vulnerable to defeat in 08. The "short list" is shaping up but I hear this list will get bigger. Who? I don't know.
Right now we have Charlie Owen; a Louisville business man that has a considerable following in the Louisville area and ran with US Rep. Ben Chandler in 03. Attorney General Greg Stumbo is making the most buzz, he brings years of experience but a few suit cases. LT Col. Andrew Horn is also being mentioned as a possible Democratic candidate.
In its latest ratings of the 2008 Senate races, The Rothenberg Political Report says Republican incumbent Mitch McConnell of Kentucky has a "clear advantage" in the race. However, McConnell failed to make the report's "currently safe" category.
Still, no Kentucky Democrat has yet entered the race against McConnell, although a handful -- Attorney General Greg Stumbo, Louisville businessman Charlie Owen and Iraq war veteran Andrew Horne -- are testing the water. They would face a well-funded opponent in McConnell.
Nationally, of the 13 senate seats that aren't in Rothenberg's "currently safe" category, all but two are held by Republican incumbents.
I am a few hours late on this one but I can not imagine a more terrible threat to our constitutional right to vote than Kentucky Republican Senator Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. He is the boogie man of campaign finance and election reform. Now he may run a muck with the rights of others to vote and be represented in Congress. The Utah clause in the bill is a bit more confusing but politics demands a trade I guess. Will McConnell listen to the polls on this issue? Will he be left on the wrong side of history himself in 08?
(Jack) Kemp, during a conference call earlier this week, argued that supporting D.C. voting rights is a way for the GOP -- the party of Lincoln, he kept saying -- to get back on the right side of history.
Hatch's support is driven, at least in part, by clear political self-interest: The bill provides that if D.C. residents get a seat in the House of Representatives, Utah will pick up an extra seat as well.
A 2005 survey found that 85 percent of Americans agree that D.C. residents ought to be allowed off what, symbolically at least, is America's last political plantation.
This is all well and good, but there is an individual who has the power to keep all these juicy issues from being debated in the Senate.
That man is Kentucky's own Sen. Mitch McConnell. He's Senate minority leader, and unfortunately, on the D.C. voting rights bill, McConnell is on the opposite side. His contention is that the Constitution is clear that D.C. residents are not to have voting rights in Congress.
I have been waiting for the opportunity to push my views on the differences or similarities of altitude Democrats and Republicans. Mountain Republicans and Democrats are not Venus and Mars in regards to their political views. The similarities between the two political parties are centered socially but those who engage in National political discussions are usually cursing each-other within 2 to 3 minutes. The 5th for example has respect for veteran Congressman Hal Rogers but I seriously doubt they hold US Senator Mitch McConnell up to the same light. President Bush and Senator McConnell seem to be one and the same and many mountain folk see that similarity.
I am confident that the majority of mountain Republicans stand on the side of right, they stand on the side of ending this war much like their Democratic counterparts. I believe Senator McConnell is definitely vulnerable in 08 in regards to the mountain vote.
I was asked a couple of questions from my Republican counterpart Johnathan Gay AKA Cyberhillbilly. The questions are a legitimate analysis into the heart of social Southeastern Kentucky and their perceived views going into the November 07 and 08 elections.
I am glad to see that Senator Mitch McConnell is being targeted early and it should send a message to the Republican Minority leader that his $7 million war chest will be countered. Ditch Mitch KY posted another wonderful thread today blasting Senator McConnell for the blatant misrepresentation of the Commonwealth on CNN. Senator McConnell says the people of Kentucky are overwhelmingly behind the Iraq War and that is pure fiction.
I noticed that McConnell is trumpeting his fundraising totals. Guess what, Mitch? When the entire NATION is turning against you, and all of its collective resources come together to oppose you, it doesn’t matter how much money you raise. You might be a lion, but let’s see how much your roar does against the tank that’s rolling into town.
Former Senator and Democratic Presidential candidate John Edwards drew applause a few moments ago on the CNN hosted Democratic Presidential debate.
I think I have witnessed the potential for a candidate to break away from Senator Hillary Clinton. Senator Clinton was asked if she regretted voting for the Iraq War and she answered true to form. No Answer. This Presidential race is probably one of the most pivotal in recent history. America is at a crossroads and we need a leader who is willing to heal our Country after the horrors of the Bush Administration. We need a President who can heal our Country's relationship with the World.
I have not made up my mind who I will support for the Democratic nomination for President. I am torn between three candidates. Biden, Obama and Edwards.
John Edwards was asked the question and he answered "YES" I made a mistake voting for this war and the crowed quickly applauded. Our Country is ready for honesty and openness. And I think the nomination will come down to, who can best heal our Country and who seems to the honest person.
Just a thought but I felt it needed to be mentioned.
A 60 year old woman was arrested Monday and the charges are serious. She was charged with disorderly conduct, resisting arrest and assaulting a police officer. If convicted she could very easily do some serious time. The police are saying one thing but it appears her family are not going quietly. I suspect many to come to her aid and hopefully this gets cleared up quickly.
Carol Rawert Trainer, 60, of Louisville, has been charged with disorderly conduct, resisting arrest and assaulting a police officer.
During the event, Trainer had been holding up a sign that said “End the War” as a protest against the Iraq war.
At some point, Jefferson County Sheriff Sgt. Ted Mitchell, who was working off-duty as event security, approached Trainer after allegedly hearing her yelling at another member of the crowd, said Lt. Col. Carl Yates, a sheriff department spokesman. ......
The arrest report said Trainer punched Mitchell in the chest and continued to resist as she was yelling and cursing.
Carol Trainer could not be reached for comment, but her husband, Harold Trainer, witnessed the incident and denied that his wife acted inappropriately. He said she was simply exercising her right to free speech.
Harold Trainer said his wife did struggle some but only after the sergeant and another officer who came to assist put their hands on her roughly.
“They were very aggressive,” Harold Trainer said. “It was really scary.”
Carol Trainer had been part of a handful of Vietnam veterans who had come to the event to show their support for ending the Iraq war. By the time she was arrested, the other protesters had dispersed, Harold Trainer said.
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