This is nuts; the Lexington Herald Leader recently commissioned a Research2000 poll, renamed it the Kentucky Poll, that showed Daniel Mongiardo up by 7. At virtually the same time, the same pollster Research2000, was commissioned by the extreme left nut-jobs at the Daily Kos to conduct a poll on the U.S. Senate race. Of course those results showed Conway a bit closer, at just 3 points down to Mongiardo with 39%.
But I have to say that both sets of results are within the calculated margin of error. Here are the crosstabs if you can make sense of that mess.