We are releasing our early line on the 2015 race for Governor in Kentucky. I am not liking this early line for the Kentucky Democratic Party, it doesn't look good.
We are weighing the odds using many different issues and data. Like; polls, fundraising, fundraising potential, exogenous political factors, internal political factors, voter mood and other data points. We'll keep it simple and present the odds in probability.
At this time we are giving the Republican candidate a 75% chance of winning next year's gubernatorial race.