KY-Sen: Senate horserace, birthers, and the public option
by kos
Fri Sep 04, 2009 at 12:46:03 PM PDT
Research 2000. 8/31-9/2. Likely Kentucky voters. MoE 4% (No trend lines)
Democratic Primary
Mongiardo 37
Conway 30
Other 15
Republican Primary
Grayson 40
Paul 25
Other 18
Tight race in the Democratic primary, perhaps surprisingly so. Expectations were that Conway, the Kentucky Attorney General, would score better than Lt. Gov. Mongiardo, but that's clearly not happening.
In the Republican side, Rand Paul's recent entry shows some promise against Grayson -- the immediate beneficiary of successful GOP efforts to unceremoniously push Sen. Jim Bunning into retirement. Rand is Ron's son, so could very well benefit from Ron Paul's online brigades. Those guys can raise serious money.
Grayson (R) 45
Mongiardo (D) 41
Grayson (R) 46
Conway (D) 40
Paul (R) 37
Mongiardo (D) 42
Paul (R) 37
Conway (D) 41
It's competitive all around, confirming this race's status as a marquee contest in 2010.
May the best Democrat win!
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